In this paper, we propose a new short-term load forecasting (STLF) model based on contextually enhanced hybrid and hierarchical architecture combining exponential smoothing (ES) and a recurrent neural network (RNN). The model is composed of two simultaneously trained tracks: the context track and the main track. The context track introduces additional information to the main track. It is extracted from representative series and dynamically modulated to adjust to the individual series forecasted by the main track. The RNN architecture consists of multiple recurrent layers stacked with hierarchical dilations and equipped with recently proposed attentive dilated recurrent cells. These cells enable the model to capture short-term, long-term and seasonal dependencies across time series as well as to weight dynamically the input information. The model produces both point forecasts and predictive intervals. The experimental part of the work performed on 35 forecasting problems shows that the proposed model outperforms in terms of accuracy its predecessor as well as standard statistical models and state-of-the-art machine learning models.
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短期负荷预测（STLF）由于复杂的时间序列（TS）是一种表达三个季节性模式和非线性趋势的挑战。本文提出了一种新的混合分层深度学习模型，涉及多个季节性，并产生两点预测和预测间隔（PIS）。它结合了指数平滑（ES）和经常性神经网络（RNN）。 ES动态提取每个单独的TS的主要组件，并启用在飞行的临时化，这在相对较小的数据集上操作时特别有用。多层RNN配备了一种新型扩张的经常性电池，旨在有效地模拟TS中的短期和长期依赖性。为了改善内部TS表示，因此模型的性能，RNN同时学习ES参数和主要映射函数将输入转换为预测。我们比较我们对几种基线方法的方法，包括古典统计方法和机器学习（ML）方法，在35个欧洲国家的STLF问题。实证研究清楚地表明，该模型具有高表现力，以解决非线性随机预测问题，包括多个季节性和显着的随机波动。实际上，它在准确性方面优于统计和最先进的ML模型。
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Image super-resolution is a common task on mobile and IoT devices, where one often needs to upscale and enhance low-resolution images and video frames. While numerous solutions have been proposed for this problem in the past, they are usually not compatible with low-power mobile NPUs having many computational and memory constraints. In this Mobile AI challenge, we address this problem and propose the participants to design an efficient quantized image super-resolution solution that can demonstrate a real-time performance on mobile NPUs. The participants were provided with the DIV2K dataset and trained INT8 models to do a high-quality 3X image upscaling. The runtime of all models was evaluated on the Synaptics VS680 Smart Home board with a dedicated edge NPU capable of accelerating quantized neural networks. All proposed solutions are fully compatible with the above NPU, demonstrating an up to 60 FPS rate when reconstructing Full HD resolution images. A detailed description of all models developed in the challenge is provided in this paper.
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Various depth estimation models are now widely used on many mobile and IoT devices for image segmentation, bokeh effect rendering, object tracking and many other mobile tasks. Thus, it is very crucial to have efficient and accurate depth estimation models that can run fast on low-power mobile chipsets. In this Mobile AI challenge, the target was to develop deep learning-based single image depth estimation solutions that can show a real-time performance on IoT platforms and smartphones. For this, the participants used a large-scale RGB-to-depth dataset that was collected with the ZED stereo camera capable to generated depth maps for objects located at up to 50 meters. The runtime of all models was evaluated on the Raspberry Pi 4 platform, where the developed solutions were able to generate VGA resolution depth maps at up to 27 FPS while achieving high fidelity results. All models developed in the challenge are also compatible with any Android or Linux-based mobile devices, their detailed description is provided in this paper.
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背景：虽然卷积神经网络（CNN）实现了检测基于磁共振成像（MRI）扫描的阿尔茨海默病（AD）痴呆的高诊断准确性，但它们尚未应用于临床常规。这是一个重要原因是缺乏模型可理解性。最近开发的用于导出CNN相关性图的可视化方法可能有助于填补这种差距。我们调查了具有更高准确性的模型还依赖于先前知识预定义的判别脑区域。方法：我们培训了CNN，用于检测痴呆症和Amnestic认知障碍（MCI）患者的N = 663 T1加权MRI扫描的AD，并通过交叉验证和三个独立样本验证模型的准确性= 1655例。我们评估了相关评分和海马体积的关联，以验证这种方法的临床效用。为了提高模型可理解性，我们实现了3D CNN相关性图的交互式可视化。结果：跨三个独立数据集，组分离表现出广告痴呆症与控制的高精度（AUC $ \ GEQUQ $ 0.92）和MCI与控制的中等精度（AUC $ \约0.75美元）。相关性图表明海马萎缩被认为是广告检测的最具信息性因素，其其他皮质和皮质区域中的萎缩额外贡献。海马内的相关评分与海马体积高度相关（Pearson的r $ \大约$ -0.86，p <0.001）。结论：相关性地图突出了我们假设先验的地区的萎缩。这加强了CNN模型的可理解性，这些模型基于扫描和诊断标签以纯粹的数据驱动方式培训。
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